Based on the consensus among top NBA analysts including Steve Aschburner, Brian Martin, Shaun Powell, and John Schuhmann, the overwhelming prediction is that the Oklahoma City Thunder will win the 2025 NBA Finals.

Key Reasons for Picking Oklahoma City:

• Superior Record: OKC finished the season with 68 wins and a 29-1 record vs. the Eastern Conference, showing dominance on both ends.
• Elite Defense: The Thunder led the league in defensive efficiency and opponent turnover rate, and have elevated those stats in the playoffs.
• Star Power: Led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with strong support from Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, and defensive aces like Lu Dort and Alex Caruso.
• Depth & Consistency: OKC has not lost four games in any seven-game span this season .

Indiana’s Cinderella Story:

While the Pacers possess an explosive offense led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam. All four analysts agree they haven’t yet faced a defense as relentless and versatile as OKC’s.

Bottom Line:

The Thunder are considered to be on a different tier. A deeper, more battle-tested, and more complete. The Pacers’ run is respected, but the general belief is that Oklahoma City is too strong to lose this series.